人民币离岸市场汇率与在岸市场汇率的关联性研究摘要随着中国改革开放的日益开放，国内外交活动继续推动全球经济一体化。在中国进入新的经济发展标准的背景下，以NDF为代表的各类衍生品的发展，特别是以人民币计价的离岸衍生品的发展，是监管的主要目标之一。另外，新经济之间的贸易越来越紧密，人民币现货市场，人民币国内期货市场，人民币国外市场和其他衍生品市场之间存在联系。人民币有所增加。由此产生的人民币汇率新股认购权也被普遍考虑。基于理论分析和以前的研究结果，本文使用ADF测试，Johansen协整检验，Granger因果检验和VAR模型从多个角度确定全局方法。检查人民币汇率估计的配电情况。总之，本文主要基于以下两个方面结合中国经济现实的研究成果。关于如何改善市场流动性和优化市场结构，以及如何优化中国经济指标的系统性建议。人民币国内外交易市场。我想为两个市场的政策制定和监管发展提供一些链接。关键词：离岸人民币市场;即期汇率;汇率联动渠道；AStudyontheRelationshipbetweenRMBOffshoreMarketExchangeRateandOffshoreMarketExchangeRateAbstractWiththedeepeninganddeepeningofreformandopeningupinChina,activitiessuchas"onebelt"and"internationalimportfair"havegreatlypromotedtheprocessofglobaleconomicintegration.InChina'seconomicocean,thedevelopmentofderivatives,especiallyoffshoreRMBderivativesrepresentedbyNDF,hasbecomeoneofthemaintasksoftheregulatoryauthorities.Inaddition,theinternationalfinancialmarketisbecomingcloserandcloser,andthelinksbetweenspotRMBmarket,domesticforwardRMBmarketandoverseasRMBNDFmarketaswellasotherRMBderivativesmarketarebecomingmorefrequent.TheissueofownershipofRMBexchangeratepricinghasalsobeenwidelyconcernedbythepublic.Basedonthetheoreticalanalysisandresearchresultsofpredecessors,thispaperusesADFtest,Johansencointegrationtest,GrangercausalitytestandVARmodeltoexploretheownershipofRMBexchangeratepricingpowerfrommultipleperspectives.Finally,basedontheconclusionsofthestudyandtheactualeconomicsituationinChina,thispapersystematicallygivespolicyrecommendationsforoptimizingtheexchangeratemarketofRMBbothathomeandabroadfromtwoaspects:enhancingmarketliquidityandoptimizingmarketlayout.Ihopetoprovidesomereferencefortheformulationofregulatoryauthorities'policiesandthedevelopmentofthetwomarkets.Keywords:OffshoreRMBMarket；Spotrate；Exchangeratelinkagechannels目录................................................................1..........................................1..................................................1.................................................2..................................................3................................4..............................................4..............................................4.......................................5..........................6................................6...........................................6...............................................6............................7.......................................7............................................7............................................8..............................................8..................................................9......................9......................................9...........................................10...........................................12..................................................12..................................................13.............................14...........................................14..................
