上冲村城市更新改造社会稳定风险研究摘要上冲地处珠海与中山坦洲、三乡的交会之处，拥有超大人流量。其中坦洲拥有超14万的常住人口，有近10万属于双城族，每天路经上冲。近年来，随着各项利好声音“助力”，上冲的发展便如它的名字一样来势汹汹，蓬勃向前。而位于上冲核心地带的上冲村，作为珠海市27个旧村改造项目之一，其重要性和现实意义也就不言而喻了。上冲村的改造是适应珠海市经济发展水平，改造的时机和条件已经成熟，符合大多数群众的利益，并能改善村民的居住环境，提高村民居住水平，带动该片区的经济发展，兼顾村民的现实利益和长远利益，但由于城中村改造项目设计征地补偿、拆迁安置、规划建设等问题远比一般房地产建设项目牵涉面广、情况复杂，必须进行细致的风险管理研究，以确保项目的顺利实施和合理实现。通过文献研究、实证研究、定量分析等方法，本文从对上冲村城市更新改造社会稳定风险进行研究，通过风险的识别、分析、评估，得出风险控制所采用的相关建议措施，并在此基础上，对今后珠海市政府城市更新改造等公共决策提供参考依据。本文首先研究预测研判社会稳定风险发生的源头、表现形式、概率、激烈程度、持续时间、涉及人员数量以及可能产生的各种负面影响，确定风险等级。其次研究制定防范风险的预案，明确防范风险的责任主体、具体措施及其实施要求，预判风险的可控程度，从源头上预防和化解风险。最后通过编制分析报告，为重大决策事项实施提供依据。关键词：城中村改造；风险管理；风险识别；风险分析；风险评估；风险控制AbstractShangchongVillageislocatedinZhuhai,ZhongshanTanzhou,threetownshiprendezvous,withsuperadultflow.WhichTanzhouhasaresidentpopulationofover140thousand,nearly100thousandbelongtotheShuangchengfamily,everydayontheroad.Mingzhuroadrepair,GuangzhouZhuhailightrailtransit,highendrealestateproject.Inrecentyears,withthegoodvoiceonthedevelopmentof"power",asitsnameasmenacing,movingforward.Asoneofthe27oldvillagereconstructionprojectsinthecityofZhuhai,ShangchongVillage,whichislocatedinthecorearea,isself-evident.OnthetransformationofvillageistoadapttotheeconomicdevelopmentlevelinZhuhaiCity,thetransformationofthetimingandconditionsarealreadymature,withthemajorityoftheinterestsofthemasses,andtoimprovethelivingenvironment,improvethelivinglevel,drivetheareaofeconomicdevelopment,therealinterestsofboththevillagersandthelong-termbenefits,butduetotheproblemofreconstructionofthevillagelandacquisitionprojectdesigncompensation,resettlement,planningandconstructionthanthegeneralrealestateconstructionprojectsinvolvingawiderange,thesituationiscomplex,mustcarryontheresearchonriskmanagementindetail,toensurethesmoothimplementationoftheprojectandreasonableimplementation.Inthispaper,throughliteratureresearch,empiricalresearch,quantitativeanalysismethod,conductstheresearchfromtherenovationofcityvillageonsocialstabilityrisk,throughriskidentification,analysis,evaluation,theriskcontroloftherelevantsuggestionsandmeasures,andonthisbasis,toprovidereferencebasisforthemunicipalgovernmentofZhuhaicityrenovationofpublicdecision-making.Themainworkofthisarticleisasfollows.Thefirstispredictandpredictthesource,form,probability,intensityanddurationofsocialstabilityrisk,thenumberofpeopleinvolvedandpossiblenegativeeffects,anddeterminetherisklevel.Thesecondisresearchandformulateplansforriskprevention,identifythemainbodyresponsibleforrisk,specificmeasuresandimplementationrequirements,predictthedegreeofcontrollabilityofrisks,andpreventandmitigaterisksfromthesource.Thethirdisthroughthecompilationoftheanalysisreport,thebasisfortheimplementationofmajordecision-makingmattersisprovided.Keyword...
