基于经济计量模型—重庆经济增长的因素分析中文摘要：本文用重庆2006-2015年的历史数据对影响重庆市经济增长的主要因素进行分析。在传统的消费、投资、对外贸易即三驾马车因素的基础上，增加了劳动力因素，建立经济计量模型。就模型的结果进行分析，分析出推动重庆市经济持续增长的源动力，并针对该结果提出了相应的对策与建议。关键词：经济增长因素分析经济计量Abstract：Inthispaper,usingthehistoricaldataofChongqingfrom2006to2015toanalyzethemainfactorsinfluencingtheeconomicgrowthinChongqingInthetraditionalconsumptionofforeigntradeandinvestmentThetroikafactors,onthebasisofincreasedlaborfactor,econometricmodelissetupontheresultsofmodelanalysis,analysisofthedrivingforcetopromotethegrowthofChongqingeconomycontinues,andtheresultsputforwardthecorrespondingcountermeasuresandSuggestions.Keywords：EconomicgrowthFactoranalysisEconometric目录一、经济增长的理论分析.....................................................................................................................2（一）经济增长的定义.................................................................................................................2（二）影响经济增长的因素.........................................................................................................2二、重庆经济增长因素初步分析.........................................................................................................3（一）重庆居民消费水平概况....................................................................................................3（二）重庆全社会固定资产投资概况........................................................................................3（三）重庆进出口贸易概况.........................................................................................................3（四）重庆劳动力概况.................................................................................................................3三、重庆经济增长因素经济计量模型分析........................................................................................4（一）变量选取..............................................................................................................................4（二）数据来源..............................................................................................................................5（三）模型建立与分析.................................................................................................................5（四）模型检验..............................................................................................................................6（五）误差修正模型分析.............................................................................................................8（六）最优模型分析结果.............................................................................................................9四、政策建议..........................................................................................................................................9（一）在居民消费水平的政策建议............................................................................................9（二）对外贸易方面的政策建议................................................................................................10（三）劳动力方面的政策建议...............................................................................................
