封面我国进出口贸易对GDP的影响摘要在经济全球化不断深入的今天，的不断推进，进出口贸易和国民经济得到了高速发展，并且发展事态良好。然而，随着全面高速发展，在经济全球化的大背景下，经济发展仍然存在一些小问题。本文通过搜集时间序列数据（1980—2018），并且基于进出口总额和GDP数据，运用经济学的相关计量方法对相关数据进行单位根检验、协整分析和Granger检验，得出进口额、出口额、和进出口贸易结构能够促进经济增长，三者之间存在单向Granger因果关系的结论。本文在最后，根据研究分析，提出了相应的解决对策。关键词：贸易现状；国民经济；实证分析ABSTRACTWiththecontinuousadvancementofeconomicglobalization,theimportandexporttradeandthenationaleconomyhaveshownrapiddevelopment,andtheirdevelopmentmomentumisveryalarming.However,inthecontextofthisall-roundhigh-speeddevelopment,economicdevelopmentstillhasproblemsinsmallareas.Thispapercollectstimeseriesdatafrom1980to2018.BasedonthetotalinputandexportandGDPdata,thispaperusestheeconometricmethodtoperformunitroottest,cointegrationanalysisandGrangertestonrelevantdata.Imports,exports,andimportandexporttradestructurescanpromoteeconomicgrowth,andthereisaone-wayGrangercausalrelationshipbetweenthethreeandeconomicgrowth.Finally,thecorrespondingcountermeasuresareproposed..Keywords:Tradestatus;nationaleconomy;empiricalanalysis目录1绪论...............................................................................................................................................11.1选题背景及研究意义.........................................................................................................11.2研究现状.............................................................................................................................11.3研究思路和方法.................................................................................................................11.4核心概念.............................................................................................................................12当前进出口贸易现状....................................................................................................................22.1基本现状.............................................................................................................................22.2进出口贸易与经济.............................................................................................................33进出口贸易与经济增长实证分析................................................................................................43.1模型的建立与变量说明.....................................................................................................43.2单位根检验.........................................................................................................................44进出口贸易对策及建议................................................................................................................64.1存在问题.............................................................................................................................64.2对策及建议.........................................................................................................................65结语................................................................................................................................................7参考文献..................................................
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