目录1前言.................................................................11.1论文的目的和意义......................................................................................................................11.2国内外现状.....................................................................................................................................21.3主要研究内容................................................................................................................................31.4采用的研究方法和技术路线...................................................................................................42产量递减分析的方法...................................................52.1产量递减简介................................................................................................................................52.2产量递减曲线介绍......................................................................................................................62.3ARPS递减曲线..................................................................................................................................82.4指数递减...........................................................................................................................................113含水规律研究的方法..................................................133.1油田含水率变化简介................................................................................................................133.2含水规律研究的方法回顾......................................................................................................143.3含水规律研究的方法的选择.................................................................................................173.4含水上升率..................................................................................................................................184LC105井产量递减分析................................................194.1井产量简况...................................................................................................................................194.22008年产量变化及预测..........................................................................................................204.3综合年产量变化及预测...........................................................................................................224.4产量变化原因..............................................................................................................................265LC105井含水率特征分析..............................................305.1含水概况........................................................................................................................................305.2马克西莫夫—童宪章曲线......................................................................................................315.3含水率和可采储量采出程度的关系...................................................................................335.4含水上升率...................................................................................................................................345.5水驱地质储量采收率预测......................................................................................................356LC105井其他生产特征................................................376.1油压特...