一．产业发展特征..........................................................................................................................21.1电力弹性系数................................................................................................................21.2电网................................................................................................................................3二．产业发展状况及其趋势...........................................................................................................32.1电力供给及其结构.........................................................................................................32.2电力需求及其结构.........................................................................................................52.3电力紧缺形势及其成因.................................................................................................7（一）缺电形势..............................................................................................................7（二）缺电原因..............................................................................................................82.4电力产业需求预测.........................................................................................................9（一）未来电力需求预测分析.......................................................................................9（二）电力紧缺形势预测.............................................................................................11三．产业政策环境.........................................................................................................................113.1行业“十五”计划.......................................................................................................11（一）总体目标.............................................................................................................11（二）具体措施............................................................................................................123.2行业管理体制改革.......................................................................................................13（一）“5+2”模式........................................................................................................13（二）电监会................................................................................................................13（三）国家发改委.........................................................................................................143.3对不同企业的政策.......................................................................................................143.4定价方式和电价政策...................................................................................................15（一）目前的电力定价方式.........................................................................................15（二）电力定价的政策趋向.........................................................................................163.5竞价上网......................................................................................................................21（一）竞价上网给综合成本较高的火电带来冲击.....................................................21（二）竞价上网将使电力企业两极分化日益严重.....................................................223.6电煤采...
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