目录中文摘要………………………………………………………………2英文摘要………………………………………………………………2一、 引言………………………………………………………………2二、 房地产泡沫分析的理论依据……………………………………3（一）房地产泡沫的概念……………………………………………3（二）房地产泡沫的成因………………….…………………………3三、房地产泡沫的具体测度分析………………………………………4（一）房地产泡沫测度指标的选取…………………………………4(二)房地产泡沫指标的测度分析……………………………6(三)房地产泡沫测度具体计算…………………………………10四、对策讨论……………………………………………………………12参考文献………………………………………………………………14房地产泡沫实证分析和对策讨论 统计 042 章雳 2070404247中文摘要：本文首先对房地产泡沫概念及其成因进行了分析，并在此基础上建立了一个指标体系，其中包括房地产开发投资实际增长率/实际 GDP 增长率、房价家庭收入比。在这个指标体系下，通过对 92～93 年房地产泡沫中两个指标的计算，大致估量两个指标的临界值。文中主要采纳 01～06 年的数据，在此基础上通过一系列计算，形成了各年的房地产泡沫综合指数。根据所设定的临界值，认定没有出现房地产泡沫。最后提出了一些政策建议。中文关键字：房地产泡沫 实证分析 政策建议Abstract：First we analyze the conception and cause of real estate bubbles in the essay, then we can found an index system. This system includes two indexes: real growth rate of investment on real estate–to-real growth of GDP Ratio Price-to-Income Ratio. Under this system, we can get approximate data of the indexes through compute the indexes. In the essay we use the data of 92 and 93.Through a series of process, we can get composite index of real estate bubbles of every year. On the basis of data we have established, we can hold the idea that there is no real estate bubbles. we put forward some idea about real estate bubbles at the end of the essay .Key words: real estate bu...
